Will Manoel Gomes be elected Federal Deputy in 2026?

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Will Manoel Gomes be elected Federal Deputy in 2026?
1. Choose your prediction
Yes
No
50%
Chance
50%
Yes-
No-
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Market Rules and Details

This market predicts whether the singer and influencer Manoel Gomes (Caneta Azul) will be elected to the position of Federal Deputy in the 2026 Brazilian general elections.

Resolution will be based on the official vote counting data released by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) following the conclusion of the count.

"Yes" Resolution: Wins if Manoel Gomes is officially listed as Eleito or Eleito por média in the TSE system for the position of Federal Deputy.

"No" Resolution: Wins if the candidate is listed as Não eleito, Suplente, or if he does not officially register his candidacy for this specific office by the TSE deadline.