Will there be an official ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before 2027?
Market Rules and Details
This market predicts whether an official ceasefire agreement will be established and enter into force between Russia and Ukraine. The resolution will be based on official statements issued by the governments of both countries or by recognized international mediating entities. Resolution "Yes": If a formal ceasefire agreement, covering the entire frontline of the conflict, is signed or officially announced and accepted by both parties before December 31, 2026. The agreement must be national in scope (not just local) and remain in effect for at least 72 consecutive hours. Resolution "No": If no official bilateral ceasefire agreement is reached by the deadline. Unilateral truces, isolated humanitarian pauses, or temporary ceasefires for holidays will not be considered for a positive resolution.
Market Rules and Details
This market predicts whether an official ceasefire agreement will be established and enter into force between Russia and Ukraine. The resolution will be based on official statements issued by the governments of both countries or by recognized international mediating entities. Resolution "Yes": If a formal ceasefire agreement, covering the entire frontline of the conflict, is signed or officially announced and accepted by both parties before December 31, 2026. The agreement must be national in scope (not just local) and remain in effect for at least 72 consecutive hours. Resolution "No": If no official bilateral ceasefire agreement is reached by the deadline. Unilateral truces, isolated humanitarian pauses, or temporary ceasefires for holidays will not be considered for a positive resolution.
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